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Rain radar · the next hour, our estimate
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Newest scan: Finnish Meteorological Institute radar (CC BY 4.0) · Next hour: Ilma's motion estimate · Map: OpenFreeMap, © OpenStreetMap contributors
Next 7 days · the shaded band shows how much the models disagree
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Two weeks
Why trust this forecast? Verified against real weather stations · open the numbers ▾
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Ilma – a weather forecast that shows how much to trust it

Ilma is a weather forecast for any place on earth, seven days ahead, hour by hour. It averages six forecast models and shows the band the models fall in: a narrow band means a confident forecast, a wide one means the models disagree and you should plan for both outcomes.

The forecast's accuracy is verified every night against 14 Finnish weather stations, and the results are published on this page. The site claims to be better than a named competitor only when the difference is statistically significant.

See every accuracy number and the method →

What is the forecast based on?

Ilma averages six forecast models: ECMWF AIFS and its ensemble, ECMWF IFS, MET Nordic, the Finnish Meteorological Institute's edited forecast and Open-Meteo. The shaded band on the chart shows how much the models disagree.

How accurate is it?

Accuracy is verified every night against 14 Finnish weather stations, and the results are shown on the page. The site claims to beat a competitor only when the difference is statistically significant.

Does Ilma have a rain radar?

Yes, for Finland. The map shows the newest radar scan from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Ilma's estimate of where the rain moves in the next hour, in 5-minute steps. Each future frame shows how often that estimate has been right over the last week.